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2024-12-13 19:41:35

I have to admit that my prediction in the past two trading days runs counter to the actual trend of the market, and the strong performance of the market exceeds the expectations of technical analysis. Therefore, my opinion is only my shallow opinion based on the technical level, not investment advice, only for exchange and discussion.Returning to the judgment of the trend of A shares tomorrow is mainly based on the following three reasons:Returning to the judgment of the trend of A shares tomorrow is mainly based on the following three reasons:


Third, the worry about the correction of CSI 2000 index and micro-cap stock index has always haunted me. This morning, small-cap stocks have begun to show signs of fatigue. Although they were forcibly pulled up by the main force to turn the corner, it is still difficult to hide the fact that their gains are too high. The CSI 2000 index shows a series of signals indicating that the short-term is seriously overbought, such as the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the index and the breakdown of the upper rail of the Bollinger Band index, which all indicate that the adjustment may be close at hand.Second, the constraint of pressure level should not be underestimated. Three pressure lines, red, blue and black, can be clearly seen from the relevant charts, which are almost coincident at the current position and form a rather dense pressure area. This means that tomorrow's index will face great challenges and resistance if it wants to launch an upward impact.The recent market trends are unpredictable. These two days, during the heavy meeting, the news was surging, and the good news spread frequently, which made me even waver in technical analysis today. After all, in the short term, the technical aspects seemed to be submerged by the wave of news and almost failed.


Second, the constraint of pressure level should not be underestimated. Three pressure lines, red, blue and black, can be clearly seen from the relevant charts, which are almost coincident at the current position and form a rather dense pressure area. This means that tomorrow's index will face great challenges and resistance if it wants to launch an upward impact.Third, the worry about the correction of CSI 2000 index and micro-cap stock index has always haunted me. This morning, small-cap stocks have begun to show signs of fatigue. Although they were forcibly pulled up by the main force to turn the corner, it is still difficult to hide the fact that their gains are too high. The CSI 2000 index shows a series of signals indicating that the short-term is seriously overbought, such as the daily wedge structure, the top deviation of the index and the breakdown of the upper rail of the Bollinger Band index, which all indicate that the adjustment may be close at hand.First, consider from the dimension of time period. If a stage high point is formed in the intraday trading tomorrow, then tomorrow will be the 13th trading day from the stage low point to the high point, and 13 is the key change number in Fibonacci series, and this time node is often prone to give birth to the change inflection point. Furthermore, looking back at the last downtrend band, it reached the low point after 14 trading days. According to the symmetry theory, the high probability of this round of uptrend band will also hit the top of the stage in about 13 to 14 trading days.

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